I think the coms ability as commander has a lot more saying than any other factor. Put me as com and that will nearly guarantee a loss.
I think the second largest factor is the map.
Is the graph of %win vs %marine created with the cleaned set?
There seems to be very few observations in the graph? 4000-5000 and not 12951?
Also it seems there are lot more observation to the left of .5 %marines, so it seems alienplayer…
Hmm, you could perhaps approximate it. Do win/(losses+wins) vs marineTime/(marineTime+AlienTime). If there is no bias it should not matter how much you play marines.
I see a lot of numbers/guesses/feelings of how much one fraction wins. Some say 55%/45%, some say 95% marines at 2000 skills, other again say ratio 2:1 for the aliens. Do you have any actual data of that? a graph of w/l vs marine/alien playtime? I m…