Us Vs China

reasareasa Join Date: 2002-11-10 Member: 8010Members, Constellation
I was thinking of posting this in MonsieurEvils topic but his was about the internet and I don't think he would want it turned into a war talk.

So anyway worse case scenario all out war with china, whos gonna take sides with who? Who well have the advantage? Who would attack first? What tactics would be used? Who would win? Discuss.
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Comments

  • Nemesis_ZeroNemesis_Zero Old European Join Date: 2002-01-25 Member: 75Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Constellation
    All I can say is that in an all-out war between two powers in possession of nuclear weaponry, there wouldn't be winners, only survivers.
  • tbZBeAsttbZBeAst Join Date: 2003-01-26 Member: 12755Members
    Agreed nem.

    I, for one, welcome our new insectile overlords
  • StakhanovStakhanov Join Date: 2003-03-12 Member: 14448Members
    As I hate both governments , I would hate to see an US/China war. Leaders from both countries would flee somewhere else while their huge nations are nuking each other...
  • SirusSirus Join Date: 2002-11-13 Member: 8466Members, NS1 Playtester, Constellation
    I'm not exactly sure if either side would even use nuclear weaponry though.

    Mainly because of the retaliation from possibly every nation in the world, and the fact, that it's obvious that the opposition would most likely respond back with nuclear weaponry.

    And I hope all sides understand this <!--QuoteBegin--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> </td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin-->there wouldn't be winners, only survivers. <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->

    Which I <i>think</i> they do.
  • Nemesis_ZeroNemesis_Zero Old European Join Date: 2002-01-25 Member: 75Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Constellation
    About six months ago, western newspapers got word of a secret Chinese military study after which leading strategists on their side believed that, should the Taiwan conflict escalate, a nuclear fight wasn't only possible, but <i>desireable</i>.
    Make of that what you wish.
  • JammerJammer Join Date: 2002-06-03 Member: 728Members, Constellation
    I believe China has less than 30 nukes... don't quote me on that though. Thats one reason China has been so adamantly against a US based missle defense system- we'll neutralize their arsenal.

    Assuming convential war... US wins hands down. China has 1 (non-working) Nuclear Sub. Most of their military is comprised of soviet equipment, although it is the top of the line 1980's stock. They're trying to upgrade, but its hard since they have an inferior economic system. If they open up their markets though, they're pretty much forcing the eventualof communism.

    NEM: Yeah, of course they want Nukes becuase our military will rip them a new a-hole. And I don't think China will esalate on Taiwan, since Bush has proven time and time again that he will go to war and honor his word. He said pre/9-11 that the US would stand by Taiwan militarily, as well as economically.
  • MonsieurEvilMonsieurEvil Join Date: 2002-01-22 Member: 4Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Contributor
    edited April 2003
    It's an interesting topic. Before people get too much further in trying to respond with the fastest hippy buzzwords and accidently choking on their bong-water ( <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo--> ), I might suggest some light reading on the subject, so that everyone can talk with some facts under their belt:

    <a href='http://www.dod.mil/news/Jun2000/china06222000.htm' target='_blank'>Annual Report on the Military power of the PRC</a>
    <a href='http://www.strategypage.com/articles/pla-air-assets/default.asp' target='_blank'>Chinese Army Aviation</a>
    <a href='http://www.strategypage.com/articles/pla-air-assets/1.asp' target='_blank'>Chinese Air Force</a>
    <a href='http://www.strategypage.com/articles/pla-air-assets/2.asp' target='_blank'>Chinese Naval aviation</a>
    <a href='http://www.hazegray.org/worldnav/china/' target='_blank'>Chinese Navy</a>
    <a href='http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/agency/pla-inventory.htm' target='_blank'>Chinese Army</a>

    <a href='http://www.cdi.org/products/almanac0102.pdf' target='_blank'>CDI's US (and to a much lesser extent, world) Military Almanac (2002)</a>
    <a href='http://www.hazegray.org/worldnav/' target='_blank'>US Navy</a>
  • MonsieurEvilMonsieurEvil Join Date: 2002-01-22 Member: 4Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Contributor
    The Chinese have been ponderously shrinkiing their armed forces over the past decade as they began to enter their age of modern capitalism in the 90's - they have a long way to go though, as the 'People's Liberation Army' (PLA) alone is 4 million men. If there was to be an actual conflict between China and the USA, all odds once pointed to it being over Taiwan, the 'renegade province' that the US has many trade and military alliances with. Every few years the PLA likes to rattle some sabres and remind the Taiwanese that the motherland is still watching them, waiting to invade and reclaim their lost territories.

    That being the case, any combat between the USA and the Peoples Republic is going to be a mostly Naval and Aerial combat, and likely would be a defensive action by the US that did not result in full-scale invasion of the chinese mainland. There might be some small scale amphibious warfare against the mainland, as well as lots of Special Forces nonsense. And of course, if China hit the beach in Taiwan there would certainly be ground combat, mostly of US Marines and Airborne forces allied with the Taiwanese army.

    Considering all that, it's pretty likely the US goal would be to simply fight the Chinese to a standstill (which would frankly not be very hard in Naval and Air terms, as the Chinese use mostly used russian and french equipment from the 50's and 60's). Then negotiate a ceasefire, and send the PLA back home to lick its wounds.

    Other notes: War with China stopped being a likely scenario as soon as they became dependent on the US for 90% of their foreign trade and manufacturing. Their dictatorship will fall in a predictable way with all communist dictatorships - economic pressure of capitalism undermining governmetn control until the demand for MTV and Levis leads to enough internal dissent to topple the government. While they are pretty hardline like the russkies, they ultimately have a country too big and unwieldy to completely control.

    The nuclear issues raised above are not very likely in my opinion.
  • Nemesis_ZeroNemesis_Zero Old European Join Date: 2002-01-25 Member: 75Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Constellation
    edited April 2003
    <!--QuoteBegin--MonsieurEvil+Apr 18 2003, 08:24 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (MonsieurEvil @ Apr 18 2003, 08:24 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> Other notes: War with China stopped being a likely scenario as soon as they became dependent on the US for 90% of their foreign trade and manufacturing. Their dictatorship will fall in a predictable way with all communist dictatorships - economic pressure of capitalism undermining governmetn control until the demand for MTV and Levis leads to enough internal dissent to topple the government. While they are pretty hardline like the russkies, they ultimately have a country too big and unwieldy to completely control. <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->
    Dragging this off-topic, I'd like to note that for big parts of western China (the poorer rural regions and the areas in the Himalaya), there's a different possibility: Fundamentalism.
    The Peoples Republic likes to view itself as atheistic, but the matter of the fact is that big parts of the rural population did never let go off its traditional believes, which range from the typical 'eastern' religions to strong Muslim convictions, and of course Tibetanian Buddhism. Especially the Muslims start gaining a new identity with the increasing influence of their religion throughout the world.
    The government in Bejing is currently working hard on connecting the rural areas to the capitalistic shores, but should they fail, and seeing how big a task they're facing I'm inclined to assume they will, we'll possibly see parts of western China splitting away and forming Muslim fundamentalistic states.

    <!--QuoteBegin--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> </td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin-->The nuclear issues raised above are not very likely in my opinion. <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->

    Neither are they in mine, the study I mentioned could very well be leaked on purpose, but as in the confrontation with the SU, the nukes have to be taken into consideration, especially since China does, as far as I know, not neglect the option of a pre-emptitive nuclear strike.

    <!--QuoteBegin--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> </td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin-->NEM: Yeah, of course they want Nukes becuase our military will rip them a new a-hole. And I don't think China will esalate on Taiwan, since Bush has proven time and time again that he will go to war and honor his word. He said pre/9-11 that the US would stand by Taiwan militarily, as well as economically.<!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->

    That was said by the same man who warned North Korea from ever touching nuclear material again, right?
  • NightfireTGNightfireTG Join Date: 2002-12-24 Member: 11508Members
    i just hope my people (taiwan) would be safe from the attack.
  • NightfireTGNightfireTG Join Date: 2002-12-24 Member: 11508Members
    i'm still going to support america though.
  • DrSuredeathDrSuredeath Join Date: 2002-11-11 Member: 8217Members
    edited April 2003
    You don't need 30 nukes to wipe out all the major military bases.

    It's like you need the scale of 100 to wipe out a country. US has 1020320430 and China has 23298.
  • WindelkronWindelkron Join Date: 2002-04-11 Member: 419Members
    It'd sure be tragic, seeing as how something like a sixth of the world's population lives in China... and in the exact area that would get nuked. Yuck.
  • reasareasa Join Date: 2002-11-10 Member: 8010Members, Constellation
    edited April 2003
    <!--QuoteBegin--Dr.Suredeath+Apr 19 2003, 07:28 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Dr.Suredeath @ Apr 19 2003, 07:28 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> You don't need 30 nukes to wipe out all the major military bases.
    <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->

    30 nukes is not enough to make it past our pacific wall, and did anyone see our new anti-nuke plane that uses a laser?
  • NightfireTGNightfireTG Join Date: 2002-12-24 Member: 11508Members
    you guys remembered that "goldeneye" movie? well, did we develop a laser-satellite technology that can blast nuclear-warheads?

    is the so-called american "goldeneye" still in development or it is actually protecting our country right now?
  • That_Annoying_KidThat_Annoying_Kid Sire of Titles Join Date: 2003-03-01 Member: 14175Members, Constellation
    <!--QuoteBegin--reasa+Apr 19 2003, 09:02 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (reasa @ Apr 19 2003, 09:02 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> <!--QuoteBegin--Dr.Suredeath+Apr 19 2003, 07:28 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Dr.Suredeath @ Apr 19 2003, 07:28 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> You don't need 30 nukes to wipe out all the major military bases.
    <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->

    30 nukes is not enough to make it past our pacific wall, and did anyone see our new anti-nuke plane that uses a laser? <!--QuoteEnd--> </td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'> <!--QuoteEEnd-->
    sources plz


    and even if one nuclear weapon get's past, thats still massive disrruption of electronic comunications, and a generall state of disorder...
  • DriftwoodDriftwood Join Date: 2002-11-11 Member: 8245Members
    About the possibility of China making aggression against Taiwan... Chances are in my opinion somewhere around zero and nil. Naturally all possibilities have to be considered, but alone the huge Taiwanese investments into SEZ's (Special Economy Zones) of China make a war between the two very unfavourable to China. China's economy rests heavily on its capitalistic reservates and Taiwan is one of the largest contributors there. Also, like MonsE pointed out, China relies strongly on foreign trade and disrupting it wouldn't be the wise thing to do.

    China's sabre rattling is politics. It wants Taiwan to join the mainland and one of the important functions of the SEZ system is to showcase Taiwan how its administration could be handled if it were to join China - autonomous state with special freedoms. If Taiwan doesn't go for the deal, all China is going to do about it, is rattle its sabre a bit more. The real "barrel of gunpowder" of the Far East is North Korea which by my prediction, will ignite in some way during the next five years. Hopefully it ignites as an internal conflict, not as an international one.
  • Nemesis_ZeroNemesis_Zero Old European Join Date: 2002-01-25 Member: 75Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Constellation
    edited April 2003
    <!--QuoteBegin--reasa+Apr 20 2003, 04:02 AM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (reasa @ Apr 20 2003, 04:02 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> <!--QuoteBegin--Dr.Suredeath+Apr 19 2003, 07:28 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Dr.Suredeath @ Apr 19 2003, 07:28 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> You don't need 30 nukes to wipe out all the major military bases.
    <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->

    30 nukes is not enough to make it past our pacific wall, and did anyone see our new anti-nuke plane that uses a laser? <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->
    You mean the Boeing?

    Well, honestly, all that is toys. SDI and the precessors have until now never reached enough precision to destroy more than one third of the attacking targets (even with the balantly too low number of 30 nukes, that would mean 20 major American cities becoming plasma). Not to mention that until today, there is <i>no</i> working defense<i>plan</i> against rockets with multiple warheads.

    The fact remains - the best defense against nukes is, was, and will always be diplomacy.
  • DrSuredeathDrSuredeath Join Date: 2002-11-11 Member: 8217Members
    edited April 2003
    Not to mention one of those smart missile just friendly fired down a British aircraft awhile ago.
  • MonsieurEvilMonsieurEvil Join Date: 2002-01-22 Member: 4Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Contributor
    <!--QuoteBegin--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> </td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> Not to mention one of those smart missile just friendly fired down a British aircraft awhile ago. <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->

    Ehhhh, not exactly sure how applicable that is. Ignoring the fact that it is designed to shoot at low-altitudes, not against nuclear ICBM's, and on a battlefield, it *did* hit its targets. How many 'friendly' incoming ballistic missiles do you see coming down over Los Angeles?

    <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo-->
  • Nemesis_ZeroNemesis_Zero Old European Join Date: 2002-01-25 Member: 75Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Constellation
    Including those fired by the Bloods? <!--emo&;)--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/wink.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='wink.gif'><!--endemo-->
  • DrSuredeathDrSuredeath Join Date: 2002-11-11 Member: 8217Members
    edited April 2003
    Come on, if US can't even shoot down those missiles in Iraq properly, do you think it can shoot down nuclear war heads possibly accompanied by bunch of decoy?
  • MonsieurEvilMonsieurEvil Join Date: 2002-01-22 Member: 4Members, Retired Developer, NS1 Playtester, Contributor
    Okay, now you completely changed your point 180 degrees. First we shoot down too much, now too little. I reiterate, the Patriot is not designed to shoot down nuclear ICBM's. It will not be used to shoot down nuclear ICBM's. No one has ever said that it will be used to shoot down nuclear ICBM's. The US is developing other systems entirely.

    Your logical extrapolation is frankly bizarre. Not being insulting, just trying to wrap my brain around these weird posts...
  • RyoOhkiRyoOhki Join Date: 2003-01-26 Member: 12789Members
    I'm still sceptical of any anti-ballistic missile program. For starters there's the problem that even if it has a 90% interception rate if the other guy fires 10,000 nukes at you it's a moot point. The technology required is still a little boggling, it's still very much like trying to fire a bullet head on into another bullet at super-sonic speeds. But in any case I really do worry about Bush trying to put this sheild up. The "reason" for it going up (terrorists or rogue states using nukes) is quite frankly laughable. If terrrorists did have a nuke, why would they go to all the trouble of getting an ICBM and then fireing it at the US? They'd just sneak it across the Mexican or Canadian border, or bring it in on a ship/aircraft. In any case they'd never use an ICBM. Secondly, rogue states may be outside what the US considers it's sphere of influence but they're not maniacs (if they were, the US would have been nuked already and would be swimming in bio and chemical weapons). They know that if they launched there'd be a one hundred fold retaliation back. These states just arn't going to do that.
    Hence, all the missile sheild serves to do is annoy China. The world has operated fine under deterrance stratagy and the world as a whole would like to see it continue, seeing as nuclear weapons are a reality and there seems to be no better solution. China will make more missiles and more bombs to ensure that they could respond to a US nuclear attack. Starting off a new cold war in the name of fighting terrorism strikes me as ill-advised and extreamly short-sighted.
  • NightfireTGNightfireTG Join Date: 2002-12-24 Member: 11508Members
    guys, can't anyone answer my question?!?

    do we have an american "goldeneye"?
  • VersableVersable Join Date: 2002-11-01 Member: 2375Members
    /versable jumps in this conversation

    stay off the movies
  • tbZBeAsttbZBeAst Join Date: 2003-01-26 Member: 12755Members
    edited April 2003
    Couple of things.

    1st. Goldeneye was a high-air nuclear blast to create a EMP (electromagnetic pulse) to disrupt electrial equipment. It has limited use as a defensive weapon, unless you've already been invaded.

    2nd. I know one of the guys that wrote some of the orignal code for the patriot system (actually I'm related to him) and he rates the system as.....not too great. It, and the seaborne Aegis system are designed to stop conventional missiles, not ICBMs.

    The big differences between the 2 are: Speed, and altitude.
    Convential explosive missiles are launched close to their target, and don't actually fly that high (some are designed to fly low to reduce the chance of detection, then "pop up" to attack). Although they are fast, they're generally not much faster than a quick fighter plane. These are the sort that the patriot is designed to intercept. Unfortunately this means the system has trouble differentiating from low-level fighters, and inbound missiles.
    ICBMs are <i>intercontinental</i>. They almost skim the earth's atmosphere (which is why "star wars" was proposed). So they are only interceptable by systems like the patriot at launch, and in the final stages of attack. ICBMs are designed to be quick. they have massive motors to reach near-orbit, then gravity, and these self-same motors power them down. The net result is an inbound thats VERY fast. Not only would it be very difficult for the patriot to track them, the timing on the proximity fuse of the interception missiles mean that the ICBM would be past the blast radius too quickly for a kill.

    Military faction, please feel free to pick me up if I'm spouting nonsense.....
  • littlewildlittlewild Join Date: 2002-11-20 Member: 9467Members
    edited April 2003
    The key to the current nuclear weapon deterent policy is: MAD. Mutually Assured Destruction. In case of a nuclear conflict, all the invovled parties will become losers. That is why Russia is so upset with the nullification of the Anti Ballistic Missile Treaty.

    With a operational missile defense system, MAD will become a thing in the past , at least to US. The US of A will then have the absolute power to use nuclear weapons on another country without any fear of retaliation. In short, America will have the ultimate trump card in the game of international "diplomacy".

    America will not use any form of WMD as of now unless it is attacked with WMD first. I doubt any country in the world will want to risk a nuclear war with the US and its fleet of nuclear-subs that is capable of launching 2nd strike. Not even China.

    Any military conflict between China and US in the near future will remain strictly conventional unless:
    1. China deploys WMD.
    2. The US ABM shield becomes a reality.

    Having ruled out the use of nuclear weapon, it is clear that China does not possess the advanced military technology that US has. Not now any way.

    If a conventional war is to take place, my bet is on America.
  • reasareasa Join Date: 2002-11-10 Member: 8010Members, Constellation
    edited April 2003
    <!--QuoteBegin--[tbZ]BeAst+Apr 21 2003, 03:42 AM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> ([tbZ]BeAst @ Apr 21 2003, 03:42 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> 2nd. I know one of the guys that wrote some of the orignal code for the patriot system (actually I'm related to him) and he rates the system as.....not too great. It, and the seaborne Aegis system are designed to stop conventional missiles, not ICBMs.
    <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->
    Can this be made clear? We are not usesing the patriot system to defend our coasts, the patriot works best at shooting down scuds, not incomeing nukes. We have a completely differnt system for coastal defence, a much more depedable one then the patriot. I'll look for some more info about it.

    heres a good read <a href='http://fas.org/spp/starwars/program/nmd/' target='_blank'>http://fas.org/spp/starwars/program/nmd/</a>


    this flash by the BBC is great I advise you all to watch it <a href='http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/in_depth/americas/2001/us_missile_defence/flash.stm' target='_blank'>http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/in...fence/flash.stm</a>
  • tbZBeAsttbZBeAst Join Date: 2003-01-26 Member: 12755Members
    edited April 2003
    Thats why I mentioned Aegis. I'm agreeing that as it stands, the US is incapable of intercepting conventional weapons with the patriot.
    Dr. Suredeath was asking why the system couldn't stop a ICBM...
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